CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN RDP79T00975A016800070001-8

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DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE

Central Intelligence Bulletin

Secret

50

1 August 1970

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No. 0183/70
1 August 1970

Central Intelligence Bulletin

CONTENTS

Cambodia: The government is planning to revise the

constitution along republican lines. (Page 1)

Israel: Acceptance of the US peace initiative does

not indicate any significant weakening of Israel's
position. (Page 3)

Uruguay: American and Brazilian diplomats were kid-

naped yesterday in coordinated terrorist attacks.

(Page 4)

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Arms Control: Prospects for an endorsement of the

draft seabeds treaty have improved. (Page 7)

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Laos ; Communist envoy (Page 8)

Czechoslovakia; Party management (Page 9)

Dominican Republic: Terrorist to return (Page 10)

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Cambodia: Current Situation

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Caimbodia:

The Military Situation

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Government forces pushing through the jungle
toward Kirirom have been slowed by heavy monsoon
rains, and are now midway between their staging areas
on Route 4 and the town itself. A government battal-
ion from Phnom Penh moving on Route 4 just south of
Kirirom was overrun yesterday by the Communists, and
air strikes were called in on both sides of the road.

In the west, meanwhile, on 30 July two govern-
ment battalions were attacked by three Communist

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battalions three miles north of Kompong Thom city.
Nine government troops were killed, including a bat-
talion commander; enemy losses were unknown. No ma-
jor enemy ground attacks have been made on the city
since early June, and nine government battalions are
stationed there now.

(Map)

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Israel: The cabinet's hard-fought decision to

accept' the US peace initiative does not indicate any
significant weakening of Israel's long-standing prin-
ciples on a settlement.

Tel Aviv's acceptance contained no piablic qual-
ifications, probably because the Israelis hope to
appear as positive as Egypt and Jordan. In accept-
ing a cease-fire "of at least three months on the
Egyptian front," the Israelis will insist on a strict
observance of the standstill, however. They will
also hold to their own interpretation of the with-
drawal section of the UN Security Council Resolution
242. In any talks with UN negotiator Jarring and
the Arabs, moreover, the Israelis can be expected
to be as tough in bargaining as ever.

Prime Minister Meir reportedly has told her
party that even if the right-wing Gahal leaves the
coalition, her government will not be weaker or less
resolute in defending Israel. The announcement spe-
cifically states that the cabinet "will remain faith-
ful to the basic principles of the government's re-
solves and its official statements."

Gahal apparently still has not made a final de-
cision whether to leave the government. Most of the
meiribers of Gahal favor retention of all the con-
quered Arab territories. Some are holding out for
doctrinal purity while others argue that to leave
now is to give up influence prematurely — befop the
Arabs' intentions are really tested. Mrs. Meir,
although still trying to keep Gahal in the coalition,
will retain a comfortable majority without them.

If Gahal did leave, it would have little ability
to organize anv opposition that could threaten the
government.

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Uruguay ; US and Brazilian diplomats were kid-
naped yesterday in coordinated attacks by the extreme
leftist Tupamaros.

In their first abduction of foreigners, the
Tupamaros have demanded the ’release of all political
prisoners for the American and have threatened to
kill the Brazilian unless a ransom of slightly more
than $1 million is paid. As recently as March, Pres-
ident Pacheco stated that if a foreign diplomat were
kidnaped, the Uruguayan Government would not accede
to terrorist demands. Earlier this week, following
the kidnaping of a judge, Pacheco said that there
would be no exchange of prisoners for the judge.

The Tupamaros continue to demonstrate their ca-
pability with a series of spectacular terrorist acts,
despite the fact that approximately 140 of their mem-
bers are in prison. Although the Tupamaros are not
a direct threat to the government, they have been a
key factor in causing the President to curtail civil
liberties. In early June following a Tupamaros as-
sault on a naval armory. President Pacheco cited the
need for extreme repressive measures; this latest

embarrassment to the governmen t could provoke him

into decreeing such m easures ,

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Arms Control ; A Soviet decision to join the US
in considering changes in the draft seabeds treaty
appears to have enhanced measurably the prospects for
an endorsement of the treaty this year.

Until a few weeks ago, the USSR insisted that
the treaty must stand or fall as originally drafted
and revised by the superpowers. The nonaligned
states represented at the Geneva disarmament talks
have been dissatisfied, however, with the present
text. The Soviet and US delegations at Geneva now
have reached agreement on alterations designed to
satisfy most of their concerns and are referring the
proposed changes to their capitals and allied nations.

Argentina and Brazil, two of the three Latin
American states represented at the Geneva talks, have
been consulted on possible alterations and now appear
much more likely to accept the treaty in its ad ref-
erendum form than was hitherto the case. Argentine
and, Brazilian endorsement of the treaty would be very
influential within the Latin American bloc, many of
whose members have been opposed to the superpowers '
positions on maritime issues.

The US-USSR draft seabeds treaty is the only
item on which the Geneva conferees may be able to
reach an agreement during their 1970 sessions. Fail-
ure to reach agreement would increase pressure within
the UN General Assembly to question the adequacy of
the Geneva forum and to launch a more heated debate
on maritime Issues than now appears likely. I

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NOTES

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Laos: Souk Vangsok, the special envoy from Corn-

munist leader Souphanouvong, arrived in Vientiane on
31 July and is expected to have private talks with
Prime Minister Souvanna today. Souk is the most im-
portant cont act between the Communists and Vientiane

since 1964.

* * * *

* * 5E ^

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icontinuea;

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Czechoslovakia ; Party leader Husak apparently
has come to terms with leading conservatives over
how the party is to be run. In a speech given in
early July, which has just become available, Vasil
Bilak, a presidium member and leading proponent of
tough party policies, proclaimed his support for
Husak 's policy of reconciliation and declared that
the presidium was unanimously behind Husak' s leader-
ship. Bilak, who at one time seemed to be in league
with those contesting Husak 's control of the party,
made it clear that such support was conditional and
predicated on the party's maintaining strict domina-
tion of the country's affairs. Nevertheless, Bilak 's
proclamation of allegiance has probably been an im-
portant factor in Husak 's recent willingness to chas-
tise publicly his dogmatist critics and to press hi s
middle-of-the road course.

* * * *

(continued)

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1 Aug 70 Central Intelligence Bulletin 10

Dominican Republic ; The exiled head of the
leftist terrorist Dominican Popular Movement (MPD)
may attempt to return to the Dominican Republic be-
fore th e inauguration of President Balaauer on 16
August.

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I Gomez

and 19 other political prisoners were released by
Dominican authorities earlier this year in exchange
for the US air attach^ , who had been kidnaped by ter-
rorists, Gomez may be returning to fill a leadership
vacuum that has existed since security for ces killed
the acting head of the MPD two weeks ago. I

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